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Lettermanfan1  (Level: 88.3 - Posts: 486)
Sat, 24th Feb '07 1:34 PM


I send email this out every year, and thought the Sploofus gang might enjoy it, too.

For those of you new to this, every year I predict who will win the Oscars. I also give my opinion as to whether they should win or not. I see every movie nominated in the major categories, (sometimes, reluctantly) as I feel this is the only way to judge fairly. I have to admit to not seeing one of the movies this year: Little Children, which has a best actress nomination (Kate Winslet) and best supporting actor nomination (Jackie Earle Haley). The reason I wasn't able to see it is, I live in the Orlando area, and getting to see an independent movie can be very difficult, especially if it's only shown at one theater for one week. Frustrating. Also, there were very few movies I was enthusiastic about this year, so my picks are a little more negative than usual.

Best Supporting Actress: Two women whose names I cannot pronounce or spell were nominated for the movie, Babel (hated it!). They will not win so I'm not going to bother looking them up. Abigail Breslin was very cute in Little Miss Sunshine, but I don't thnk she was Oscar worthy. Jennifer Hudson was excellent in Dreamgirls, and is definitely going to win. Her performance, however, was very inconsistent, and she was not better (nor will she most likely ever be) than Cate Blanchett, who is nominated for Notes on a Scandal and is the one who should win. Oh, well.

Best Supporting Actor: Eddie Murphy is going to win. I would love to see any of the other 4 nominees win instead, but it's not going to happen. I personally thought his performance in Dreamgirls was just an extension of his James Brown impression from Saturday Night Live. I was not impressed. I was impressed with Alan Arkin in Little Miss Sunshine (hilarious!!!), Dijimon Hounsou in Blood Diamond (I love this guy in everything! Remember him in Gladiator? He rocks), Mark Wahlberg in The Departed (who would have thought that Marky Mark would come so far?). As I said before, I didn't see Little Children, but the nominee, Jackie Earle Haley was the child actor from the original Bad News Bears (the kid who smokes and has a motorcycle) and has a pretty interesting story.

Best Actress: 4 out of the 5 actresses nominated deserve to win (Penelope Cruz has never impressed me). Meryl Streep was great in The Devil Wears Prada, Judi Densch was scary in Notes on a Scandal, Kate Winslet, nominated for Little Children, is always good, but Helen Mirren blew them all away with her performance in The Queen. She was so good, I forgot I wasn't watching the real queen! She will win and deservedly so.

Best Actor: Forest Whitaker, nominated for his portrayal of Idi Amin in The Last King of Scotland, will win. He was fabulous and freaky and deserves to win. He is definitely one of the most talented actors around, and I'm happy to see him finally recognized. Leonardo DiCaprio is nominated for Blood Diamond, but I thought he was much better in The Departed and was surprised he wasn't nominated for that. Ryan Gosling is nominated for a small movie, Half Nelson, and he was really good. Those of you who remember him from The Notebook will be quite surprised by his versatility. Peter O'Toole is hilarious and touching in Venus, and could upset Forest's win just because he's so old, but I don't think it will really happen. Will Smith gave his best performance ever in The Pursuit of Happyness, and if it wasn't for Forest he probably would win.

Best Movie: I think there were very few good movies this year to pick from.

Babel. Did I say how much I hated it? It was boring, confusing at times, and predictable. I think the fact that it was nominated shows how much movies sucked this year.

Little Miss Sunshine: This disfunctional family road trip movie had me laughing at the end for 10 straight minutes. It's not going to win, but I love that it was nominated.

The Queen: Another personal favorite, it takes place during the week following Princess Diana's death. I have no idea how factual it was, but it felt true. I highly recommend it.

Letters from Iwo Jima: Another great movie from Clint Eastwood. In simple terms, he made a WWII movie from the Japanese point of view. Very interesting, but not for everyone.

The Departed: My favorite of all the nominated movies. It is Martin Scorcese's best movie since Goodfellas, and totally makes up for the 6 hour movie from 2 years ago, The Aviator. Well, it felt like 6 hours, anyway. Everyone was excellent, the story moved, and had quite a few surprises. Loved it!

As for which movie will win, this is the only category I don't think is as predictable as the others, but here is my guess. They will give Martin Scorcese the Oscar for Best Director, and give Clint Eastwood the Best Movie Oscar for Letters from Iwo Jima. I'm looking forward to seeing if I'm right.

This was, frankly, a cruddy year for movies, though 3 of my favorites (The Departed, The Queen and Little Miss Sunshine) were nominated. I also loved The Devil Wears Prada, The Inside Man and Prairie Home Companion. I saw United 93, was extremely impressed and depressed, and I know I will never watch it again. It's just too hard to shake off. The 2 biggest wastes of time at the movies this year was Babel and Superman. Very disappointing.

This was the first year in memory that I wasn't bothered by talkers in the theater as much. There was one guy on his cell phone during Superman, but I was so bored I didn't care. I am usually surrounded by these types every time I go to the movies, so that was a pleasant change. However, my dear friends, Holli and John, have been bothered by them quite often recently, making me fear I have passed my curse on to them. If this is the case, I feel sorry for them, but not enough to want the curse back. Pay it forward, dudes. lol

As usual, these opinions are my own and I would love to hear your feedback. I'll send my review of the Oscar Show (I'm very disappointed that Jon Stewart isn't hosting again) on Monday morning.

Movie Geek

Suzer22  (Level: 165.6 - Posts: 1982)
Sat, 24th Feb '07 9:35 PM

I don't get to the theatre too often...but this year seems to be the worst. Out of all these listed I have only seen 'The Devil Wears Prada' and only that because I took a cross-continental flight on which it was shown!

But from these descriptions, I'm not sure I want to see any of them anyway!

Lettermanfan1  (Level: 88.3 - Posts: 486)
Sat, 24th Feb '07 9:39 PM

Yeah, you didn't miss much.

Tallactor  (Level: 153.1 - Posts: 423)
Sun, 25th Feb '07 9:54 AM

I wasn't good about seeing movies this year, and I only made it to two of the movies with Oscar nominations (and one of those I saw on DVD). But I liked "Dreamgirls," and I loved "Little Miss Sunshine." I don't think it will win Best Picture (though Best Adapted Screeplay is a possibility), but it's well worth seeing.

BTW, I also enjoyed "A Prairie Home Companion" and the documentary "Wordplay," though neither has any major nominations.

Tuzilla  (Level: 131.2 - Posts: 3769)
Sun, 25th Feb '07 10:45 AM

Forrest Whitaker should win for playing "Idi Amin" in "The Last King of Scotland". He was believable in every way.

Meryl Streep should win for "Miranda" in "The Devil Wears Prada". My wife got to pick the movie we would watch. I didn't want to see it. I was amazed at how good it was and how amazing Meryl was in her role. I also loved her in "A Prairie Home Companion."

Lisap369  (Level: 61.1 - Posts: 992)
Sun, 25th Feb '07 10:53 AM

Put Meryl Streep in any movie and I'm always amazed at her talent - she is a chameleonlike to be sure! She has my vote for best all time actress.

Chrismb428  (Level: 24.6 - Posts: 10)
Sun, 25th Feb '07 5:02 PM

Nice insight into the Oscars. I disagree about a few points though. Little Miss Sunshine has an excellent chance of winning Best Picture. Personally, I think it was a very cute movie, heartwarming, etc...Best Picture worthy? Not really...but worse movies have won that category. Babel was too depressing and pointless to get enough votes, The Departed (though I REALLY liked it) was too violent to get enough votes, The Queen has great performances but the movie seems small and unimportant to me so I don't think it will get enough votes, and there is little to NO buzz about Iwo Jima so that won't get enough votes...this leaves Little Miss Sunshine as the default winner.

Though Cate Blanchett is an amazingly talented actress, her performance in Notes on a Scandal was way toooo over the top...bordering on laughable at the end...she doesn't deserve to win...not for THAT role. Jennifer Hudson's performance did not seem that inconsistent to me at all..what I think people are criticizing is the fact that she doesn't exactly shine till her big number (truth is, I don't think her character was written to "shine" until then)...prior to that big number, her character is a teenager, a young girl, who is neither completely loveable OR cocky, a young girl who often acts cocky but is really insecure at times...she's a person who is not all black or white and I think Jennifer portrayed that nicely. I think people would have rather seen her be more forceful all the way through which I think is something a lesser actress would have done...I like how her character had different levels to it...of course her big number was amazing and blows any other scenes (that those other nominated actresses did) away....

Lettermanfan1  (Level: 88.3 - Posts: 486)
Sun, 25th Feb '07 9:02 PM

I love feedback!

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